Nowe Technologie Archive

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BCG Report: Financing Climate Adaptationand Resilience Is Good for Business and the World

Posted in: Anti-equilibrium, Branże, Nowe Technologie, Opinie, Prawo, Raport z Rynku

 

By Veronica Chau, Qahir Dhanani, Nathanial Matthews, Charmian Caines, Trish Stroman, Rebecca Gibbs, Maxine Yee, and Pippa Fielding

Financing climate adaptation and resilience (A&R) is an opportunity for businesses and private investors—not a burden. From Risk to Reward: The Business Imperative to Finance Climate Adaptation and Resilience is a new study published by BCG in collaboration with the Global Resilience Partnership (GRP) and United States Agency for International Development (USAID) that lays out the investment thesis for the private sector to finance climate adaptation and resilience.

 

Our analysis aims to inform industry-wide actions at this critical time. This report details the adaptation and resilience business case, laying out three key opportunities for the private sector to secure value and identifying the specific entry points for finance:

  • The “Protect” Opportunity. Companies can safeguard value at risk and protect assets, supply chains, and operations by implementing and financing adaptation and resilience measures. Lenders and investors can safeguard their portfolios by deploying capital toward resilient assets and companies.
  • The “Grow” Opportunity. Investors can finance companies that develop adaptation and resilience solutions, and companies can invest in new adaptation and resilience product lines, creating climate-resilient revenue streams and thereby expanding the overall market of adaptation and resilience solutions.
  • The “Participate” Opportunity. The private sector can collaborate with the public sector to finance and implement capital projects and deploy finance toward vehicles that support a portfolio of projects.

The report closes with a set of actions that different industry participants can take to begin availing themselves of these three opportunities and fostering systemic resilience to help protect the planet and its people.

This report is a key element of BCG’s response to the US government’s President’s Emergency Plan for Adaptation and Resilience (PREPARE) Call to Action to the Private Sector.

 

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Deloitte: Co drugi lider zespołów IT odczuwa wypalenie zawodowe

Posted in: Branże, Informatyka w Firmie, Innovation, Nowe Technologie, Opinie

Chociaż spowolnienie gospodarcze osłabiło rosnące od wielu lat zapotrzebowanie na ekspertów IT, to nadal pozyskanie wykwalifikowanych pracowników stanowi istotne wyzwanie dla pracodawców. Kluczowym zadaniem dla organizacji w najbliższych latach stanie się zapewnienie deweloperom możliwości długofalowego rozwoju kariery, uwzględniających rosnącą rolę sztucznej inteligencji, wynika z raportu „What’s bugging IT”, opracowanego przez firmę doradczą Deloitte. Istotną kwestią jest także rozpoznanie potrzeb ekspertów technologicznych, którzy coraz częściej oczekują od pracodawców wsparcia w kwestiach związanych ze zdrowiem, a także elastyczności w zakresie miejsca i czasu pracy.

Przeprowadzone w czwartym kwartale 2023 r. badanie dotyczyło wyzwań, potrzeb i postaw pracowników działów IT wobec takich wyzwań jak postępująca automatyzacja. W ankiecie wzięło udział 300 respondentów, z których znaczna część pochodziła z Polski. Wśród nich znaleźli się zarówno przedstawiciele kadry menadżerskiej wysokiego i średniego szczebla, jak i osoby zatrudnione w roli specjalistów.

 AI rewolucjonizuje IT

Podobnie jak wiele innych branż również sektor IT przechodzi dużą zmianę wynikającą z rosnącej popularności sztucznej inteligencji. Na pytanie dotyczące tego, jak duża część ich obecnych obowiązków zostanie przejęta przez AI, 44% ankietowanych wskazało połowę lub więcej. Zapytani o ich charakterystykę podawali bardzo szeroki przekrój badań, od analityki czy rutynowych procesów biznesowych poprzez tworzenie i przeprowadzanie testów po zarządzanie projektami i obsługę klienta.

Automatyzacja nie pozostanie bez wpływu na charakter pracy specjalistów IT. Zdaniem autorów raportu oznacza to wyzwanie dla pracodawców, którzy w odpowiedzi na zmieniającą się rzeczywistość powinni opracować narzędzia i procesy umożliwiające ekspertom długofalowy rozwój. Pewną nadzieję w tym obszarze daje przytoczona w raporcie wysoka skłonność profesjonalistów IT do samorozwoju i uczenia się. Zapytani o obszary, które ich zdaniem zyskają na znaczeniu w trakcie najbliższych 2-3 lat, sześciu na dziesięciu wskazało na kwestie bezpieczeństwa. Z kolei 41 proc. odpowiedzi dotyczyło generatywnej AI, a co trzeci ankietowany za najistotniejsze uznał technologie chmurowe.

Rosnąca powszechność generatywnej sztucznej inteligencji stanie się motorem istotnych zmian w funkcjonowaniu przedsiębiorstw. Z tego względu organizacje powinny umożliwiać ekspertom IT rozwój kompetencji technologicznych oraz tych, które dotyczą behawiorystyki czy psychologii. Umożliwi to bowiem dostosowanie poziomów ich wiedzy do aktualnych potrzeb rynku, co może przynieść wymierne korzyści nie tylko im samym, ale i całym organizacjom. Nie bez znaczenia są także predyspozycje specjalistów technologicznych, dzięki którym mogą się oni stać liderami procesu adopcji nowych technologii w swoich organizacjach

– mówi John Guziak, partner, Human Capital, Deloitte.

Wypalenie zagrożeniem dla IT

W ramach badania Deloitte eksperci zostali zapytani o swoje odczucia dotyczące obecnie wykonywanej pracy. Okazuje się, że rosnącym zagrożeniem dla branży jest kwestia wypalenia zawodowego, które ma odczuwać aż 53 proc. liderów zespołów IT oraz ponad jedna czwarta ankietowanych specjalistów. Przyczyny tego zjawiska są zróżnicowane, wśród nich wymienia się m.in. brak równowagi między życiem prywatnym a zawodowym, nadmiar obowiązków czy ogólny brak satysfakcji z wykonywanej pracy. Powszechność wypalenia zawodowego może być jedną z przyczyn niewielkiego odsetka chętnych do objęcia w przyszłości posady lidera działu IT. Osoby widzące siebie w tej roli stanowią zaledwie 38 proc. badanych, podczas gdy znaczna większość (58 proc.) ankietowanych planuje rozwój w stronę eksperta technologicznego. Za czynniki powodujące niezadowolenie i skłaniające do rozważenia zmiany zawodu lub pracodawcy ankietowani wymieniają najczęściej niesatysfakcjonujący poziom wynagrodzenia (46 proc.), brak możliwości rozwoju (29 proc.) oraz nieefektywne procesy w organizacji (24 proc.).

Praca zdalna a efektywność

Utrzymanie odpowiedniego poziomu zatrudnienia w działach IT wymaga od pracodawców rozpoznania i wyjścia naprzeciw potrzebom specjalistów technologicznych. To, czy są one zaspokajane, pokazuje przytoczona w badaniu luka wsparcia, czyli różnica między odsetkiem respondentów, którzy otrzymali wsparcie od pracodawcy w danym obszarze oraz rozkładem odpowiedzi wskazujących na znaczenie danego obszaru dla respondenta. Największą różnicę widać w sferze wolnego czasu (-51 proc.), zdrowia bliskich uczestników badania (-46 proc.), jak i kwestii zdrowego trybu życia (-40 proc.). Najmniejsza różnica między oczekiwaniami a rzeczywistym wsparciem dotyczy możliwości pracy zdalnej (-8 proc.), elastycznych form zatrudnienia i czasu pracy (-6 proc.) oraz możliwości osobistego udziału w akcjach charytatywnych (13 proc.).

Wyniki zapytań dotyczących luki wsparcia pokazują blaski i cienie pracy zdalnej. Z jednej strony pracodawcy są świadomi jej znaczenia, z drugiej ma ona swoje negatywne konsekwencje. Wzrost popularności wykonywania obowiązków zawodowych na odległość niekiedy wiąże się z upowszechnieniem mniej aktywnego trybu życia, co może prowadzić do wzrostu liczby przypadków chorób cywilizacyjnych. Z tego względu pracodawcy powinni zaoferować wsparcie w postaci, np. porady dietetyka lub trenera personalnego czy szkolenia z zakresu profilaktyki chorób. Tego typu inicjatywy mogą korzystnie wpłynąć na samopoczucie pracownika i utrzymanie odpowiedniego poziomu zatrudnienia w działach IT – mówi Zbigniew Łobocki, senior manager, Human Capital, Deloitte.

Powszechność pracy zdalnej w sektorze IT rodzi zagrożenia nie tylko w zakresie dobrostanu pracowników. Przedmiotem nieustannej dyskusji jest także kwestia efektywności działań realizowanych przez zespoły technologiczne pracujące na odległość. Zdaniem autorów raportu taki sposób działania powinien być odpowiednio zaplanowany. Kluczowe w tym obszarze mogą okazać się nawyki i stałe elementy działania zespołów, które powinny dotyczyć nie tylko bieżących kwestii, ale także planowania długofalowego, przekazywania informacji zwrotnych czy budowania relacji.

Więcej: Deloitte

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Green revolution in shipping. 6.5 thousand alternative fuel ships in 2025

Posted in: Artykuły, Branże, Firmy, Nowe Technologie, Raport z Rynku

By Marek Grzybowski

The Clarksons Green Technology Tracker study from May indicates that shipowners have committed a significant amount of tonnage investment to low-carbon technologies. Ships with engines adapted to use two or three types of fuel are increasingly ordered by operators and now account for 48% of the total order backlog. This means that operators will launch 843 ships with LNG installations on the market in the near future, according to Clarksons experts.

Ships with LNG systems are still popular with operators. Hence their large share in order portfolios. Shipowners gained experience in their operation, shipyards in the production of ships with gas-powered engines, and ports mastered the procedures for bunkering them from land and water.

A large fleet of ships with LNG systems is already in operation, including several ferries built at Remontowa Shipbuilding for a recipient from Canada and electric ships for Norway, Finland and Iceland from CRIST and Remontowa Shipbuilding. There are 362 ships adapted to use LNG in the seas and oceans.

Clarksons experts estimate that about 5 thousand. various types of technologies to save fuel and reduce emissions of harmful substances have been installed. On the other hand, 48% of the order book includes ships with systems using alternative fuels, with 191 ships equipped with engines adapted to burn ammonia in their contracts.

In Green Technology Tracker Clarksons calculates that by 2025 the share of ships with engines using alternative fuels will reach 6.5%. Today, it is estimated that a total of 5.5% of the merchant fleet is powered by alternative fuels, while in 2017 only about 2.3% of merchant ships used alternative fuels in their engines. It was mainly LNG.

LNG systems on ships dominate
“LNG is characterized by a tried and tested technology, a well-functioning supply chain and interchangeability in other applications,” emphasizes Nicola Contessi, a research fellow at the York Center for Asian Research in Toronto, specializing in shipping and transport, in Maritime Executive. He points out that the reduction of LNG imports by EU countries from Russia has strengthened these benefits.

Nicola Contessi has calculated that LNG fuels 93% of the active fleet using alternative fuel engines and 57.5% of the contracted fleet. As an example of the increase in demand for green fuels, he cites the sale of a bunker in Rotterdam in the second quarter of 2023. Indeed, the port of Rotterdam has seen an increase in demand for green fuels.

The percentage share of sales in Rotterdam of alternative fuel bunkers (including all bio-mixtures, LNG and methanol) increased by 10% in the quarter, compared to 7% in the first quarter. Demand for bunkering biofuels increased significantly in the second quarter of this year, after a drop in demand recorded in the first quarter.

S&P Global notes that “biofuels have become a popular choice among shipowners looking to decarbonise [ships in operation – MG], providing a drop-in solution that requires little or no ship modernization.”

Methanol, ammonia, hydrogen
Methanol is another fuel fleet operators rely on. The fuel can be used after the ship is rebuilt, or even better, when the installation is installed during construction. The solution is not as common as ships with LNG systems.

A limitation in the dissemination of methanol in ship propulsion systems is the poor adaptation of ports to handle this type of vessel. Ships capable of safely bunkering are not widely available at destination ports. The infrastructure that allows methanol to be bunkered from the quay is also not very developed.
Ammonia as a marine fuel still raises numerous concerns and objections. This is due to the fact that bunkering technology has not been extensively practiced and mastered. Therefore, the conditions and procedures for safety and environmental protection are not known.
Hydrogen on large ships is still the melody of the future. We already have the first solutions behind us. Hydrogen-powered ships have been introduced by leading technological countries, but these are still experiments at taxpayers’ expense.

Not (new) technologies
The green revolution on ships is not limited to the search for alternative fuels. Shipowners are looking for ways to save fuel consumption, often introducing several technical improvements.
Clarksons estimates that Energy Saving Technology (EST) has already been applied to more than 6,250 ships, representing 27.3% of the fleet (by deadweight).
The most commonly used are various types of propeller nozzles (>2000), modernized rudders (>1600), Flettner rotors (>20), rigid sails and spinnakers (>12), air lubrication systems for the hull (>350).
Not very new technology, but still not always common. Today, they are used more and more often, when shipowners have chosen to save fuel. Since the “slow steaming” system has already exhausted its possibilities, the time has come to dig up proven technical solutions and introduce new fuels.
The combination of many technical solutions is also a challenge for design offices as well as production and repair shipyards. The course for green ships is already set and the movement to introduce environmentally friendly solutions is accelerating. The green revolution in shipping is a fact and is gaining momentum.

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Demand for alternative fuels is growing in ports. LNG is making a comeback

Posted in: Artykuły, CRM, Logistyka, Makroekonomia, Nowe Technologie

   

By Marek Grzybowski

Lower LNG prices have resulted in greater demand for gas in ports. In Rotterdam, LNG sales increased by almost 109% quarter-on-quarter, reaching 266,000 tonnes in the second quarter. m³. In Singapore, shipowners in June bunkered 17.9 thousand. m³, and in July 18.3 thousand. m³ of LNG. It is predicted that there will also be a demand for methanol, which may become the fuel of the future.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has disrupted global LNG markets and pushed LNG prices to over $2,500 a ton in Rotterdam and over $2,000 a ton for a bunker in Singapore last year. However, prices have dropped significantly since then and LNG has been available at big discounts for several months now. Gas on ships again became more attractive than VLSFO, which was quickly seen in the world’s major ports, where bunker turnover reaches significant volumes.
In Rotterdam, LNG sales amounted to 112,069 m³ in Q2 2022. LNG sales in Q2 were also the highest quarterly sales volume since Q3 2021 (212,719 m³). In the first half of 2023, LNG sales amounted to 265,892 m³. For comparison, in the same period of 2022, 214,648 m³ were fueled on ships. Ship operators or ship management companies were concerned about price volatility and the possibility of using regular gas supplies.

Economic activity and bunker prices
The Port of Rotterdam Authority announced that the total sales volume of the bunker in Rotterdam (excluding lubricants) fell by 10% in the second quarter of 2023. Low sales of VLSFO were decisive.
Demand fell in the second quarter of this year. by 8% to 906,368 tonnes, which is 15% lower than in the previous year. In Q2, traditional marine fuels continued to dominate the demand, as their share reached 38% of total sales.
HSFO sales increased by 5% in the second quarter, and the share of this fuel in sales increased from 30% to 35%. Total sales volume also increased during the year, reaching an 18% increase compared to 2021 levels.

This year, for the first time, owners of dual-fuel LNG ships have an economic justification to benefit from investments in innovative power systems for new types of ship engines.
However, since for most of the 1920s the price of LNG was too high, the vast majority of operators of dual-fuel vessels used traditional marine fuel.

Gasum will reduce carbon dioxide emissions
As soon as gas became cheaper, it was also profitable to introduce a bunker to the market. In June, the tanker Kairos returned to operation as part of Gasum. It is an LNG bunkering vessel owned by Gasum. From October 2022, the shipowner directed it for use on the open market outside the company.

It is assumed that the biogas offered by Gasum will reduce carbon dioxide emissions by an average of 90 percent compared to traditional fossil fuels. “Increasing the use of bio-LNG is one of the concrete actions that will lead the shipping industry towards a low-emission future,” the company said.
“Gasum’s strategic goal is to market seven terawatt hours (7 TWh) of renewable gas annually by 2027. Achieving this goal would mean an annual cumulative reduction of 1.8 million tons of carbon dioxide emissions for Gasum customers,” the company explained.
this summer the operator carried out the first LNG bunkering operation at the port of Reykjavik, Iceland. Coral Energy’s LNG bunker supplied LNG and liquefied biogas (LBG) for the engine room of the PONANT Le Commandant Charcot cruise ship.

Time for a Polish LNG tanker bunker
The introduction of such tankers as Coral Energy and Kairos into operation in Poland was discussed on the occasion of the launch of the LNG terminal in Świnoujście. For many years, dual-fuel engines with the possibility of burning gas began to dominate the portfolios of orders for ships.
According to the latest estimates by the classification society DNV, the number of ships with dual-fuel engines and LNG systems that are in service and on order has exceeded 900 units. Kairos is a good example for a potential operator of a Polish LNG bunker.
The tanker has been designed so that it can deliver LNG to ships of various types and sizes in all possible bunkering locations in North-West Europe. The vessel can deliver LNG at pumping rates from 60 m³ per hour to 1,250 m³ per hour. Perhaps it is time to introduce the Polish LNG bunker to the Baltic market.

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ATINER: “Artificial Intelligence and Labor Market Effects”

Posted in: Anti-equilibrium, Innovation, Makroekonomia, Nowe Technologie, Zarządzanie Firmą

  

Inspired by a paper recently released by the Macdonald-Laurier Institute (20230831_Artificial-Intelligence-Cross_PAPER.pdf (macdonaldlaurier.ca), ATINER would like to organize a roundtable discussion on “Artificial Intelligence and Labor Market Effects“. This roundtable discussion will be organized by ATINER’s Business, Economics and Law Division (www.atiner.gr/blrd) (Director: Dr. Michael P. Malloy, Distinguished Professor & Scholar, University of the Pacific, USA) as part of the 17th Annual International Conference on Global Studies: Business, Economic, Political, Social and Cultural Aspects (18-21 December 2023), Athens, Greece (www.atiner.gr/cbc).

Dr. Gregory T. Papanikos, President, Athens Institute for Education and Research (ATINER)

Artificial intelligence (AI) is emerging as the most discussed technological, social, and economic phenomenon of 2023. But many people are concerned that if it proves to be an improvement over human intelligence, AI will significantly reduce the demand for labour, especially for middle-class jobs.

This paper looks at the possible economic impacts of AI. It makes no attempt to forecast how AI will evolve and does not address broader concerns about whether
the capabilities of AI will outrun the ability of humans to understand and manage this technology. Rather, it examines the economic impact of AI so far and compares its evolution with past forecasts of how technological change would affect workers. It cautions against a rush to increase government regulations and spending based on as yet unfounded concerns about the impact of AI on jobs.

Machine automation has been feared for its impact on human jobs since the Industrial Revolution began. Earlier eras of automation disrupted employment patterns in farming and factories, but overall job growth actually accelerated as higher incomes drove the expansion of other industries. Despite that experience, there are numerous forecasts that the deployment of AI will lead to widespread job losses.

Compounding the anxiety of potential job losses is the fear that AI will displace  middle-class jobs and that the rewards from the widespread deployment of AI will accrue to a small number of people who own the capital and will thereby increase inequality.

The reality is that recent developments in the labour market are the exact opposite of these gloomy predictions. Employment rates are at an all-time high. The main difficulty of employers is finding workers in a labour market where unemployment is near historic lows. While AI technology was predicted to be a unique threat to white collar jobs, white collar employment in Canada, the US, and Britain continues to increase steadily. This raises the possibility that AI will be deployed to help workers do their jobs better – not to get rid of employees.

More: Philip Cross, “Artificial Intelligence”

Atiner Conferences

 

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