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2019: Office market trends in Poland

Posted in: Branże, CRM, Marketing, Zarządzanie Finansowe

Record value of investment transactions and demand for space proves excellent shape of the office segment in our country

In 2019, we could observe further intense development of the office market in Poland. The most dynamic development of the office real estate segment is visible in Warsaw, which has outperformed regional markets in terms of demand. Walter Herz analysts predict that this year will close with the best-ever result in terms of the amount of space leased on the capital market. This year, we have already seen record lease transactions in Warsaw. mBank has leased 45.6 thousand sq m of office space in Mennica Legacy Tower, whereas Orange Polska renewed its lease of nearly 45 thousand sq m. of offices in Miasteczko Orange.

Clear changes in all of the largest office centers in Poland can also be seen in the demand structure, where the share of pre-let contracts is increasing. In regional cities, pre-let already covers a third of the leased space. In Warsaw, most offices under construction are already secured by contracts.

Bartłomiej Zagrodnik, Managing Partner at Walter Herz notes that today we are dealing with very high tenant activity on the office market, from both private and public sectors. – Constant demand for offices, not only in large cities, but also in smaller urban centers, in turn, encourages developers to act, rapidly launching other, often spectacular projects. In addition, they are also motivated to initiate new investments by large interest in commercial real estate from various capital markets, including those that so far have been less active in Poland – informs Bartłomiej Zagrodnik.

Walter Herz’s Managing Partner emphasizes that the economic growth seen in the country, an ever wider range of investment products, including primarily AAA class facilities and high demand from tenants foster investments in Poland, as evidenced by the minimum vacancy rate in the office segment. – Not only the Warsaw market is enjoying the investors’ interest, but also regional markets, with this year’s record-high level of investment transactions in the office sector. Cracow, Wrocław and the Tri-City achieve the best results in this respect. This proves good shape of the office segment in Poland – says Bartłomiej Zagrodnik.

Poland is perceived as a stable and mature economy, hence large international funds are increasingly willing to invest with us. Participation in investment transactions increases primarily due to the Asian capital, especially from South Korea. Walter Herz data shows that the value of investment transactions on regional office markets outside Warsaw has already exceeded EUR 1 billion this year, which is the best result in history. In all of Poland, the total sum of transactions involving office buildings after three quarters of this year, exceeds the amount of the entire last year’s volume.

According to Walter Herz, 1.7 million sq m. of office space is currently under construction on the office market in Poland. Among the implemented investments there are also those that impress with their enormity. The largest complex under construction is Warsaw’s Varso, which will offer 110 thousand sq m. of office space. Commissioning of several spectacular office towers in Warsaw, including Mennica Legacy Tower, Widok Towers, The Warsaw HUB and Skyliner is scheduled in the upcoming weeks.

Large facilities that are to offer offices at the highest world level are under construction in the largest business centers in the country. Mixed-use projects, which are often based on the revitalization of historical industrial buildings, are appearing more and more often among them. Mixed-use facilities, such as Warsaw investments Elektrownia Powiśle, The Warsaw HUB, Fabryka Norbina, Browary Warszawskie and Koneser, as well as Łódź-based Fuzja and Monopolis are very popular among tenants. Therefore, according to Bartłomiej Zagrodnik, the upcoming weeks will be a period of intense development of mixed-use investments, which today very often bring about the reconstruction of large fragments of cities, and some of them are under conservation protection.

The coming months will also bring verification of the instant office and co-working space market, which has recently significantly increased its resources in Poland, primarily in Warsaw. Opening several new locations of flexible spaces, including in the Warsaw Hub, Central Point, Varso, Mennica Legcy Tower, Fabryka Norblin and Monopolis complexes, will reveal the real demand for this type of space, which will determine the pace of development of this segment in our country.

Developers have recently put more emphasis on increasingly advanced technological and ecological solutions. Lately, we have been able to observe a number of changes in this area on the office market. Arrangement of new facilities goes towards increasing energy efficiency and reducing the negative impact of buildings on the environment.

Office buildings are becoming, not only more and more comfortable, but also economical. The solutions used in them allow to obtain a good result under multi-criteria certification, in the process of assessing energy efficiency, water management efficiency, the quality of the building’s internal environment, waste reduction and the use of recycling, as well as the quality of materials used for building facilities. Currently available technologies allow creating zero-energy buildings, that is facilities with zero energy consumption and zero carbon dioxide emission. The most modern complexes are striving to confirm their standard with WELL certificate.

The most prestigious buildings are testing systems supporting users in organizing their everyday work. It is possible thanks to smartphone applications that allow customizing light, temperature, humidity in the rooms, booking a conference room, parking space or other services.

About Walter Herz

Walter Herz company is a leading Polish entity which has been operating in the commercial real estate sector across the country. For seven years, the company has been providing comprehensive and strategic investment consulting services for tenants, investors and real estate owners. It provides extensive support for both public and private sector. Walter Herz experts assist clients in finding and leasing space, and give advice when it comes to investment and hotel projects.

In addition to its headquarters in Warsaw, the company has branches in Cracow and Gdansk. Walter Herz has created Tenant Academy, first project in the country, supporting and educating commercial real estate tenants across Poland, with on site courses held in the largest cities in the country. In order to ensure the highest ethical level of services provided, the agency introduced the Code of Good Practice.

Iwona Wiśniewska-Lopez

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Cybersecurity: Linchpin of the digital enterprise

Posted in: Artykuły, Branże, CRM, Felietony, Informatyka w Firmie

Two consistent and related themes in enterprise technology have emerged in recent years, both involving rapid and dramatic change. One is the rise of the digital enterprise across sectors and internationally. The second is the need for IT to react quickly and develop innovations aggressively to meet the enterprise’s digital aspirations. Exhibit 1 presents a “digitization index”—the results of research on the progress of enterprise digitization within companies, encompassing sectors, assets, and operations.

As IT organizations seek to digitize, however, many face significant cybersecurity challenges. At company after company, fundamental tensions arise between the business’s need to digitize and the cybersecurity team’s responsibility to protect the organization, its employees, and its customers within existing cyber operating models and practices.

If cybersecurity teams are to avoid becoming barriers to digitization and instead become its enablers, they must transform their capabilities along three dimensions. They must improve risk management, applying quantitative risk analytics. They must build cybersecurity directly into businesses’ value chains. And they must support the next generation of enterprise-technology platforms, which include innovations like agile development, robotics, and cloud-based operating models.

Cybersecurity’s role in digitization

Every aspect of the digital enterprise has important cybersecurity implications. Here are just a few examples. As companies seek to create more digital customer experiences, they need to determine how to align their teams that manage fraud prevention, security, and product development so they can design controls, such as authentication, and create experiences that are both convenient and secure. As companies adopt massive data analytics, they must determine how to identify risks created by data sets that integrate many types of incredibly sensitive customer information. They must also incorporate security controls into analytics solutions that may not use a formal software-development methodology. As companies apply robotic process automation (RPA), they must manage bot credentials effectively and make sure that “boundary cases”—cases with unexpected or unusual factors, or inputs that are outside normal limits—do not introduce security risks.

About the author(s)

James Kaplan is a partner in McKinsey’s New York office, Wolf Richter is a partner in the Berlin office, and David Ware is an associate partner in the Washington, DC, office.

More: www.mckinsey.com

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Five routes to more innovative problem solving

Posted in: Anti-equilibrium, Artykuły, CRM, Inkubator Menedżerów, Menedżerowie, Zarządzanie Firmą

Rob McEwen had a problem. The chairman and chief executive officer of Canadian mining group Goldcorp knew that its Red Lake site could be a money-spinner—a mine nearby was thriving—but no one could figure out where to find high-grade ore. The terrain was inaccessible, operating costs were high, and the unionized staff had already gone on strike. In short, McEwen was lumbered with a gold mine that wasn’t a gold mine.

Then inspiration struck. Attending a conference about recent developments in IT, McEwen was smitten with the open-source revolution. Bucking fierce internal resistance, he created the Goldcorp Challenge: the company put Red Lake’s closely guarded topographic data online and offered $575,000 in prize money to anyone who could identify rich drill sites. To the astonishment of players in the mining sector, upward of 1,400 technical experts based in 50-plus countries took up the problem. The result? Two Australian teams, working together, found locations that have made Red Lake one of the world’s richest gold mines. “From a remote site, the winners were able to analyze a database and generate targets without ever visiting the property,” McEwen said. “It’s clear that this is part of the future.”

McEwen intuitively understood the value of taking a number of different approaches simultaneously to solving difficult problems. A decade later, we find that this mind-set is ever more critical: business leaders are operating in an era when forces such as technological change and the historic rebalancing of global economic activity from developed to emerging markets have made the problems increasingly complex, the tempo faster, the markets more volatile, and the stakes higher. The number of variables at play can be enormous, and free-flowing information encourages competition, placing an ever-greater premium on developing innovative, unique solutions.

This article presents an approach for doing just that. How? By using what we call flexible objects for generating novel solutions, or flexons, which provide a way of shaping difficult problems to reveal innovative solutions that would otherwise remain hidden. This approach can be useful in a wide range of situations and at any level of analysis, from individuals to groups to organizations to industries. To be sure, this is not a silver bullet for solving any problem whatever. But it is a fresh mechanism for representing ambiguous, complex problems in a structured way to generate better and more innovative solutions.

The flexons approach

Networks flexon

Evolutionary flexon

Decision-agent flexon

System-dynamics flexon

Information-processing flexon

Putting flexons to work

Flexons help turn chaos into order by representing ambiguous situations and predicaments as well-defined, analyzable problems of prediction and optimization. They allow us to move up and down between different levels of detail to consider situations in all their complexity. And, perhaps most important, flexons allow us to bring diversity inside the head of the problem solver, offering more opportunities to discover counterintuitive insights, innovative options, and unexpected sources of competitive advantage.

About the author(s)

Olivier Leclerc is a principal in McKinsey’s Southern California office. Mihnea Moldoveanu is associate dean of the full-time MBA program at the University of Toronto’s Rotman School of Management, where he directs the Desautels Centre for Integrative Thinking.

More: www.mckinsey.com

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Financial crime and fraud in the age of cybersecurity

Posted in: Branże, CRM, Informatyka w Firmie, Inkubator Menedżerów, Marketing, Menedżerowie

As cybersecurity threats compound the risks of financial crime and fraud, institutions are crossing functional boundaries to enable collaborative resistance.

In 2018, the World Economic Forum noted that fraud and financial crime was a trillion-dollar industry, reporting that private companies spent approximately $8.2 billion on anti–money laundering (AML) controls alone in 2017. The crimes themselves, detected and undetected, have become more numerous and costly than ever. In a widely cited estimate, for every dollar of fraud institutions lose nearly three dollars, once associated costs are added to the fraud loss itself. 1 Risks for banks arise from diverse factors, including vulnerabilities to fraud and financial crime inherent in automation and digitization, massive growth in transaction volumes, and the greater integration of financial systems within countries and internationally. Cybercrime and malicious hacking have also intensified. In the domain of financial crime, meanwhile, regulators continually revise rules, increasingly to account for illegal trafficking and money laundering, and governments have ratcheted up the use of economic sanctions, targeting countries, public and private entities, and even individuals. Institutions are finding that their existing approaches to fighting such crimes cannot satisfactorily handle the many threats and burdens. For this reason, leaders are transforming their operating models to obtain a holistic view of the evolving landscape of financial crime. This view becomes the starting point of efficient and effective management of fraud risk.

The evolution of fraud and financial crime

Fraud and financial crime adapt to developments in the domains they plunder. (Most financial institutions draw a distinction between these two types of crimes: for a view on the distinction, or lack thereof, see the sidebar “Financial crime or fraud?”) With the advent of digitization and automation of financial systems, these crimes have become more electronically sophisticated and impersonal.

Financial crime or fraud?

For purposes of detection, interdiction, and prevention, many institutions draw a distinction between fraud and financial crime. Boundaries are blurring, especially since the rise of cyberthreats, which reveal the extent to which criminal activities have become more complex and interrelated. What’s more, the distinction is not based on law, and regulators sometimes view it as the result of organizational silos. Nevertheless, financial crime has generally meant money laundering and a few other criminal transgressions, including bribery and tax evasion, involving the use of financial services in support of criminal enterprises. It is most often addressed as a compliance issue, as when financial institutions avert fines with anti–money laundering activities. Fraud, on the other hand, generally designates a host of crimes, such as forgery, credit scams, and insider threats, involving deception of financial personnel or services to commit theft. Financial institutions have generally approached fraud as a loss problem, lately applying advanced analytics for detection and even real-time interdiction. As the distinction between these three categories of crime have become less relevant, financial institutions need to use many of the same tools to protect assets against all of them.

One series of crimes, the so-called Carbanak attacks beginning in 2013, well illustrates the cyber profile of much of present-day financial crime and fraud. These were malware-based bank thefts totaling more than $1 billion. The attackers, an organized criminal gang, gained access to systems through phishing and then transferred fraudulently inflated balances to their own accounts or programmed ATMs to dispense cash to waiting accomplices (Exhibit 1).

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Significantly, this crime was one simultaneous, coordinated attack against many banks. The attackers exhibited a sophisticated knowledge of the cyber environment and likely understood banking processes, controls, and even vulnerabilities arising from siloed organizations and governance. They also made use of several channels, including ATMs, credit and debit cards, and wire transfers. The attacks revealed that meaningful distinctions among cyberattacks, fraud, and financial crime are disappearing. Banks have not yet addressed these new intersections, which transgress the boundary lines most have erected between the types of crimes (Exhibit 2).

More: https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/risk

Authors: Salim Hasham is a partner in McKinsey’s New York office, where Shoan Joshi is a senior expert; Daniel Mikkelsen is a senior partner in the London office.

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Growing your own agility coaches to adopt new ways of working

Posted in: CRM, Informatyka w Firmie, Innovation, Makroekonomia, Nowe Technologie, Zarządzanie Finansowe

Agile coaches play a vital role in enterprise-wide agile transformations. To develop enough coaches, companies should create specialized training academies.

Companies are increasingly looking to infuse agility into their operating models. However, as organizations attempt to scale these efforts across their entire business, new challenges that simply didn’t exist at the micro level are beginning to surface. These challenges are especially prevalent where traditional organization silos need to interact.

The big realization for many companies is that scaling agile is not simply a matter of replicating agile practices across more teams. This is why trying to adapt project-management offices (PMOs) to support agile projects or bringing in more scrum masters is unlikely to be effective (see sidebar, “The scrum master’s role in scaling agile”). Rather, agility as an operating model requires the rewiring of core enterprise-wide processes. With this comes a need for the organization to operate differently.
The degree of change required to adopt agile ways of working across an entire organization is simply too large to repurpose existing roles and structures. Only by investing in agility coaches—and a comprehensive program to identify, train, and support them—can companies expect to scale and sustain agile across the enterprise.

…

To ensure the success of the agility coaching academy, it is critical to have the right support and leadership structure. Typically, the academy is led by a full-time executive who reports to either the CHRO or some other member of the C-suite depending on who is really driving the agile transformation—it could be the CIO, the head of transformation, or the COO. The academy lead is accountable for the following:

  • Setting the strategy and defining the delivery road map for the academy
  • Running the day-to-day operations of the academy, such as building and refining the academy backlog
  • Leading the recruitment of coaches
  • Overseeing learning and development of the trainee agility coaches, and administering the learning and development of graduated coaches
  • Defining the evaluation criteria and mechanisms to measure effectiveness of the agility coaches
  • Deploying the right agility coaches to the right areas and teams
  • Overseeing performance evaluations for the agility coach cohort

More: https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/

By Amit Anand, Sahil Merchant, Arun Sunderraj, and Belkis Vasquez-McCall

About the authors: Amit Anand is a senior expert in McKinsey’s Sydney office, Sahil Merchant is a partner in the Melbourne office, Arun Sunderraj is a digital expert in the New York office, and Belkis Vasquez-McCall is a partner in the New Jersey office.

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